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Paul Merson makes Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction and names Mikel Arteta’s ‘most important’ player

Paul Merson makes Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction and names Mikel Arteta’s ‘most important’ player

Arsenal head into this weekend’s London derby in commanding form, but former Gunners star Paul Merson believes the Premier League leaders may finally drop points when they travel to Stamford Bridge. While Merson insists an Arsenal victory would effectively end the title race, he expects Chelsea to do just enough to earn a draw in what promises to be a high-intensity showdown.

Arsenal’s Dominant Run This Season

Arsenal arrive in west London on a nine-match unbeaten league run and sit six points clear at the top of the table. After finishing second in the league three seasons in a row, they have emerged as the most consistent and complete side in the division.

Defensive Strength and Big-Game Confidence

With the best defensive record across Europe’s top five leagues, Arsenal have lost just once all season. Their recent Champions League win over Bayern Munich has only reinforced belief that Mikel Arteta’s side are ready to go one step further than previous campaigns.

Chelsea’s Timely Revival

Chelsea, however, are beginning to show signs of momentum at the perfect time. After a mixed start to the season, recent performances suggest Enzo Maresca’s young squad is starting to find its rhythm.

Confidence Boost Before the Derby

A strong midweek European performance has lifted spirits, and Stamford Bridge will provide the ideal stage for Chelsea to test themselves against the league’s frontrunners.

Paul Merson’s Match Prediction

Despite Arsenal’s form, Merson does not believe Chelsea will be beaten on Sunday. In his view, Arsenal are unlikely to lose, but Chelsea have enough quality and energy to take a point.

Why Merson Sees a Draw

Merson feels Chelsea’s inexperience could hold them back from a title challenge, even with a win. Arsenal’s composure and structure make them hard to beat, but Chelsea’s home advantage and attacking threat should prevent defeat.

Prediction: Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal

Key Battle to Watch in Midfield

One of the standout matchups will come in midfield, where two elite performers are expected to go head-to-head.

Declan Rice vs Moisés Caicedo

Both players bring power, intelligence, and relentless energy. Their duel could dictate the tempo and balance of the game, making it one of the most compelling individual battles of the weekend.

What’s at Stake

An Arsenal win would likely put the title beyond doubt. A Chelsea victory would thrust them into the conversation. A draw, however, would keep Arsenal firmly in control while giving Chelsea confidence that they are moving in the right direction.

This fixture has all the ingredients of a classic — intensity, quality, and major consequences at both ends of the table.